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Probability. I encourage you to begin the lesson with a few rounds of the River Crossing Game. The pdf included in this lesson plan includes instructions from the site below and a full-page game board I created. www.beaconlearningcenter.com/documents/11499_5154.pdf
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This resource received a 3* rating because it is part of Algebra 1: Predicting Patterns & Examining Experiments, which received a rating of 3-Exemplary in the Curriki Review System and which you can see here: http://www.curriki.org/xwiki/bin/view/Coll_mathercize/Algebra1PredictingPatternsExaminingExperiments