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This research paper, presented at the 2002 Physics Education Research Conference, the author argues that the Maryland Physics Expectations Survey (MPEX), which describes student attitudes and expectations toward learning, and might be used to predict normalized gains on tests such as the Force and Motion Concept Evaluation (FMCE); is an incomplete predictor of possible gains on standardized tests. The author also illustrates the problems involved in using the MPEX to predict productive attitudes toward learning physics by focusing on two students, both with seemingly appropriate expectations toward learning. While one had high normalized gains, the other did not, due to "false favorable" responses on the MPEX.
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